Audio Overview
BREAKING: SECOND SHOOTING
Jan 24, 2026: Federal agents fatally shot Alex Pretti (37) at Minneapolis protests. Judge orders evidence preservation. Read Full Analysis →
← Trump Policy Immigration ICE Minneapolis Shooting DEVELOPING

Part of: Trump PolicyImmigration

PART 1 OF 2

Renee Good Shooting: Three Shots Through a Windshield

Use my Shot-by-Shot Analyzer, Outcome Simulator, and Settlement Calculator to test any theory. Toggle inputs, see outcome odds change in real time. See also: Alex Pretti Shooting (Jan 24)

✍️ Sergei Tokmakov, Esq. 🔧 4 Interactive Tools 📅 Updated Jan 25, 2026 🔴 Investigation Ongoing
LIVE

Latest Developments

Jan 25, 2026
NEW SHOOTING
Jan 24: Fed agents kill Alex Pretti at protest
COURT ORDER
Jan 25: Judge orders DHS evidence preservation
HOMICIDE
Jan 23: ME rules Good death a homicide
VIDEO
ABC: 3 shots as SUV moves forward

What Happened in Minneapolis

TL;DR The Basic Facts

January 7, 2026. South Minneapolis. During an ICE enforcement operation, an agent fired 3 shots through a vehicle's windshield as the SUV moved forward. Renee Good, 37, was killed. ICE claims self-defense. Minneapolis Mayor disputes. FBI and Minnesota BCA investigating.

Why This Case Matters
The video shows the agent firing as the vehicle moves. Whether shots were fired while in the path vs after the vehicle passed is legally decisive. Courts can analyze each shot separately.
  • 3 shots fired (visible/audible on video)
  • Shots went through front windshield
  • Vehicle was moving forward when shots fired
  • Close range engagement
  • Fatal head wound
  • ICE enforcement operation context
  • Multiple video angles exist
  • Whether vehicle struck the agent
  • Agent's exact position at each shot
  • Time gap between shots (continuous volley?)
  • Whether agent could have moved clear
  • Exact wound trajectory (awaiting autopsy)
  • Whether warnings were given
  • Vehicle speed and steering angle

These findings will shape the legal analysis once released:

Autopsy: entry/exit wounds, trajectory
Windshield analysis: impact angles
Distance calculations at each shot
Bullet recovery and matching
Vehicle damage and tire marks
Morning, Jan 7
ICE enforcement operation begins
~10:45 AM
Renee Good shot: 3 rounds through windshield
Vehicle moving forward and right
Hours later
Conflicting statements
ICE: self-defense. Mayor: disputes.
Jan 8
FBI, BCA investigating
Jan 23
Medical Examiner: Homicide ruling
Classification, not guilt determination
Jan 24
Second shooting: Alex Pretti killed
Jan 25
Judge orders evidence preservation
TRO issued re: Pretti shooting
⚔️ The Competing Narratives

🏛️ Federal Position

  • Agent acted in self-defense
  • Vehicle posed imminent threat
  • Deadly force was necessary

🏙️ Local Position

  • Video contradicts self-defense
  • Woman was not target
  • Agent may not have been in path

Shot-by-Shot Analyzer

TL;DR The Core Legal Question

Courts can analyze each shot separately. Shot #1 while in the vehicle's path may be justified. Shots #2 and #3 after the vehicle has passed face much harder scrutiny. Key case: Waterman v. Batton.

💡
The "Room for Error" Myth
The test is objective reasonableness—not what this officer felt, but what a reasonable officer could perceive. It accounts for split-second decisions but isn't a blank check.

Configure Each Shot

Toggle inputs to see how the legal analysis changes

Shot 1 LOW RISK
Shot 2 MEDIUM RISK
Shot 3 HIGH RISK
⚙️ Additional Factors

Legal Risk Assessment

📜
Constitutional (4A)
Moderate Risk
Waterman v. Batton
📋
Policy Violation
Elevated Risk
DOJ moving vehicle rule
💼
Civil Exposure
Medium-High
QI analysis required

Analysis: With Shot 1 in-path/active but later shots alongside/behind with diminishing/ended threat, courts would likely analyze the volley in segments. Initial shot defensible under Graham; later shots face Waterman "subsequent shots" scrutiny.

Outcome Pathways

TL;DR Three Lanes, All Run in Parallel

Criminal: Rare, requires willfulness. Civil: Fee-capped, QI-blocked. Administrative: Internal discipline. Families typically see money through FTCA settlements.

🎮 Outcome Simulator

Adjust the inputs to see how different fact scenarios affect likely outcomes

70%
50%
Estimated Outcome Probabilities
Criminal Charges 10%
Federal (18 USC § 242) or State
Policy Violation Finding 45%
DOJ/DHS moving vehicle policy
Civil Settlement 85%
FTCA wrongful death claim
Qualified Immunity Applies 55%
Blocks Bivens individual damages
Projected Settlement Range
$2.4M – $5.6M
Based on comparable federal vehicle shooting cases
Analysis Summary

Criminal charges remain unlikely (historically rare for federal agents). Moderate policy concerns. QI likely available given factual disputes and novel circumstances. Civil resolution expected.

⚖️

Criminal

Federal (18 USC § 242)
  • Requires willfulness
  • DOJ Civil Rights Division decides
  • Historically rare prosecutions
State (MN Homicide)
  • Local prosecutor decides
  • Agent can remove to federal court
  • Supremacy Clause defenses available
Barrier: Willfulness proof; removal; Supremacy Clause
💼

Civil Lawsuit

FTCA (vs United States)
  • Sue government, not agent
  • Admin claim required first
  • Attorney fees capped (20%/25%)
Bivens (vs Agent)
  • Constitutional damages claim
  • Largely blocked after Egbert (2022)
  • Immigration context disfavored
Barrier: Qualified immunity; Bivens limits; fee caps
📋

Administrative

Internal Investigation
  • ICE Office of Professional Responsibility
  • DHS Office of Inspector General
  • Shooting review board
Possible Outcomes
  • Policy violation finding
  • Discipline (reprimand to termination)
  • Policy/training changes
Barrier: Internal only; no public accountability required
📅 Investigation Timeline: What Happens Next
NOW
Initial Investigations
FBI and Minnesota BCA gathering evidence
1-4 wks
Autopsy & Forensics
ME report, ballistics, trajectory
1-6 mo
Charging Decisions
DA and DOJ evaluate for charges
≤2 yrs
Civil Claims
FTCA deadline; wrongful death suit
2-5 yrs
Resolution
Settlement or trial

Money & Settlements

FTCA Settlement Calculator

See how fee caps affect what families receive

Attorney Fee
$1,000,000
20% statutory cap (28 USC § 2678)
Family Receives
$4,000,000
Before expenses, liens
📊 Settlement Benchmarks (Comparable Cases)
Case Facts Amount
Than Orn v. Tacoma Shot during low-speed pursuit $8,000,000
Erik Salgado (CHP) CHP shots into vehicle $7,000,000
Anastasio Hernandez Rojas Border Patrol death $1,000,000
Each case is unique. These are reference points, not predictions.
🏛️ Why Federal Cases Pay Differently
Factor Local Police (§ 1983) Federal (FTCA/Bivens)
Defendant City/County United States
Attorney Fees Fee shifting; no cap 20-25% cap
Punitive Damages Available Not available
Bivens Claim § 1983 established Largely foreclosed
Jury Yes Bench trial only
Update Log
Jan 25, 2026 Added second shooting (Alex Pretti) breaking banner, ME homicide ruling, evidence preservation order
Jan 8, 2026 Initial publication